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W7EES > SWPC 18.08.18 11:44l 47 Lines 1488 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4147_W7EES
Read: DK3UZ GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: DB0FHN<OE2XZR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<N0KFQ<NS2B<N9PMO<VE1MPF<W9ABA<N9LYA<
W7EES
Sent: 180809/2341Z 4147@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 221 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Aug 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Aug, 11 Aug, 12 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 443 km/s at 08/2155Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (10 Aug, 11 Aug) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (12 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 10 Aug-12 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Aug 070
Predicted 10 Aug-12 Aug 070/069/069
90 Day Mean 09 Aug 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Aug 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Aug 006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug 005/005-006/005-009/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Aug-12 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/25
Major-severe storm 10/10/25
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