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W1GMF > ARES 12.04.07 13:59l 82 Lines 4064 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 37709_W1GMF
Read: GUEST
Subj: SKYWARN COORD #4
Path: DB0FHN<DB0FOR<DB0MRW<DB0RGB<DB0AAB<DB0FSG<I4UKI<IR1UAW<IK2QCA<IQ0LT<
IW8PGT<KG6BAJ<VK4TRS<ZL2BAU<N1UAN<W1GMF
Sent: 070412/1238Z @:W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NA #:37709 [Abington, MA FN42MC]
From: W1GMF@W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NA
To : SKYWRN@NEBBS
Hello to all….
….Precipitation Onset Slower then Previously Forecasted with warmer conditions
over southern parts of the area. Wind Advisory issued for southern parts of
area and SKYWARN formal activation cancelled for now but monitoring will
continue….
….Winter Storm Warnings Continue until 11 PM EDT for Southwest and
South-Central NH, Franklin and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for
4-8ö of snow with the highest amounts at elevations over 1,000 feet and lower
amounts below 1,000 feet. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 11 PM
EDT for Northern Middlesex County Massachusetts and Eastern Hillsborough County
New Hampshire for 2-4ö of snow and sleet and a Winter Weather Advisory is in
effect for Western Hampden County Massachusetts until Noon for 2-4ö of snow
before a changeover to Heavy Rain….
….Winter Weather Advisories for much of the rest of the southern half of
interior New England have been cancelled….
….A Wind Advisory is in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island
and Cape Cod and the Islands from Noon-5 PM EDT for winds sustained at 25-35
MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible in this area….
….Will monitor potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and sharp small
stream rises as heavy rainfall moves into the region along and south of the
Mass. Pike later this morning and this afternoon….
….Formal SKYWARN Activation for this morning into early afternoon has been
cancelled. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed for parts of the area and will
monitor for Ops at NWS if heavy rainfall and/or strong winds in the south cause
problems or the heavy wet snow in northern areas causes issues later today….
….Once Thursday’s storm has passed, Eyes will turn to a potentially major storm
Sunday Night into Tuesday with the potential for very heavy precipitation, very
strong winds and the potential for coastal flooding....
Precipitation is working its way in from New Jersey and Eastern New York and is
making its way into Western New England from the CT River Valley to Southwest
New Hampshire. Temperatures have been a bit warmer than expected resulting in
less of a threat of snow and ice across much of the region although heavy snow
and ice is still possible in the areas that remain under Winter Storm Warnings
with more moderate amounts in the remaining advisory areas. A Wind Advisory is
now in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape
Cod and the Islands from Noon-5 PM today. As the precipitation moves into the
area, it will come down heavy for a 2-4 hour period potentially resulting in
urban and poor drainage flooding as well as sharp small stream rises along and
south of the Mass. Pike later this morning and this afternoon. Formal SKYWARN
Activation for this morning into early this afternoon has been cancelled.
SKYWARN Self-Activation and remote reporting will be utilized for this storm
for now but we’ll continue to monitor for Ops at NWS as we head into this
afternoon where heavy rainfall and/or strong winds could cause problems or if
heavy wet snow causes tree and power line issues in the Winter Storm Warning
area.
Once Thursday’s storm passes, a far more significant storm could affect the
region Sunday Night through Tuesday. The storm could bring very heavy
precipitation, very strong winds and the potential for coastal flooding. The
storm is still 4-5 days away but models have been very consistent in a
potentially significant storm affecting the region in this timeframe. Refer to
the Hazardous Weather Outlook from NWS Taunton within this coordination message
and the Marine Weather Statement on this storm via the link below:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fzus71.KBOX.html
This will be the last full coordination message on Thursday’s event with a
short coordination message issued if Ops at NWS are initiated. Below are the
NWS Taunton Wind Advisory statement, Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather
Advisory statement and the Hazardous Weather Outlook:
ROB KD1CY
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