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W1GMF > ARES 04.08.06 09:17l 166 Lines 9289 Bytes #-7173 (0) @ WW
BID : 57194_W1GMF
Read: GUEST
Subj: SEVERE WX COORD MESSAGE 0728
Path: DB0FHN<DB0FOR<DB0MRW<DB0RGB<DB0SL<DB0FSG<DB0GAP<DB0GPP<DB0LX<DB0RBS<
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Sent: 060728/1300Z @:W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NOAM #:57194 [Abington, MA FN42MC]
From: W1GMF@W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NOAM
To : SKYWRN@NEBBS
Severe WX Coord Message #2
Hello to all….
….Potential exists for another active severe weather day in Southern New England today after yesterday’s more widespread severe
weather event spilled down into New Jersey versus Southern New England. Today’s event features a strong impulse and associated
cool front which will set the stage for the potential of pockets of damaging winds, large hail, perhaps flash flooding and iso
lated supercells from Noon-7PM EDT today for much of Southern New England away from the south coasts….
….SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is expected anytime after Noon today….
At 740 AM EDT, Satellite pictures and radar showed relatively clear conditions with a lot of sunshine over Southern New England
. It also shows lingering shower and thunderstorm activity over New York State. It will be this activity in New York State that
will most likely intensify over Southern New England bringing with it, the potential for severe weather with pockets of damagi
ng winds, large hail, perhaps flash flooding and isolated supercells the primary threats. Initially, it appeared that the event
would occur later in the evening. It now appears that severe weather will occur in the Noon-7 PM EDT timeframe. Wind fields al
oft are much stronger than they were over the last 2 days and instability parameters will be similar to the last couple of days
given the amount of sunshine over the region. Assuming these parameters line up as expected, another active severe weather day
is shaping up for much of Southern New England away from the South coasts of Massachusetts and Rhode Island. This will be sett
ing the stage for intense heat and humidity for the weekend into early next week with further chances for severe weather after
this weekend.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is expected anytime after Noon today. Will attempt to update the email if Ops are ac
tive if time allows. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Special Weather Statement:
FLUS41 KBOX 281028
HWOBOX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
628 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006
ANZ230>237-250-254-255-CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-
RIZ001>008-291028-
BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BRISTOL-
BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK
ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-NORTHERN WORCESTER-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-VINEYARD SOUND-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT-
WESTERN NORFOLK-WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM-
628 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FAR MORE WIDESPREAD THAN THOSE THAT FINALLY
DEVELOPED THURSDAY EVENING. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THERE WILL BE
SEVERAL PATHS OF WET MICROBURST DAMAGE ALONG WITH DAMAGING LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND BRIEF POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING RAINS OF 2.5 INCHES
IN AN HOUR. HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN SEVERAL STORMS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WILL INTENSIFY DURING FORENOON.
DAMAGING STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN NOON AND 7 PM...FOR ALL OF THE
AREA EXCEPT NOT THE SOUTH COASTS OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR PRELIMINARY TIMING
DETAILS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
A HEAT WAVE MAY BE ONGOING IF FRIDAYS /TODAYS/ TEMPERATURES TOUCH 90
AT HARTFORD...LAWRENCE...FITCHBURG...MANCHESTER OR NASHUA.
NO MATTER...IT IS EXPECTED A MORE FORMAL STATEMENT OF HEAT WAVE
EXPECTATIONS WILL BE ISSUED AS WE BRACE FOR POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL DAY
AFTER DAY 90 DEGREE HEAT SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY NEAR
100 DEGREE HEAT FOR 1 DAY NEXT TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY IN THE HARTFORD
AREA. HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 100 ON MOST DAYS FOR AN HOUR OR
SO...ESPECIALLY FROM HARTFORD TO WOONSOCKET AND TAUNTON WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF DANGEROUS 105 DEGREE OR GREATER HEAT INDICES NEXT
TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. IF THERE WERE TO BE A BREAK IN THE HEAT...
SUNDAY MIGHT BE THE DAY FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT TO ADVANCE PREPARATIONS FOR HEAT RELATED
NEEDS AT ANY OUTDOOR EVENTS AS WELL AS FOR THE ELDERLY...CHILDREN AND
THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY AILMENTS. POWER OUTAGES WOULD EXACERBATE THE
SITUATION.
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BOTH
SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS.
IT MAY BECOME TOO HOT TO THUNDER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DESPITE AN
APPROACHING COOL FRONT.
EVENTUALLY THAT FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO OR JUST SOUTH OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AND SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM GENERATING HEAVY RAINS
HERE.
AIR QUALITY MAY BECOME UNHEALTHY FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME IN
PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ESPECIALLY CONNECTICUT...PARTLY
DEPENDENT ON WIND DIRECTION...WIND SPEEDS...AND INVERSIONS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL OR FLOODING
RAINS...WILL BE NEEDED AROUND NOON TODAY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE
95.
$$
JWD/DRAG
WWUS81 KBOX 280725
SPSBOX
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
325 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>004-281900-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...
WEARE...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...
WARWICK
325 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006
...HOT AND HUMID WEATHER MAY LEAD TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS
OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY...
A COOL FRONT MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES...COMBINED WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 AND HIGH HUMIDITY...IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
BERKSHIRES AND CONNECTICUT VALLEY...INTO THE BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE
AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL WITH POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS...
NOON TO 3 PM IN THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY...
1 PM TO 4 PM IN THE WORCESTER HILLS...
2 PM TO 5 PM IN PROVIDENCE...BOSTON AND THE MERRIMACK VALLEY.
IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS TODAY...BE ALERT FOR SIGNS OF THREATENING
WEATHER. HAVE A SAFE PLACE TO GO TO IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH...SUCH
AS A CAR OR STRONG BUILDING. OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD BE POSTPONED
UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.
BOATERS ON BOSTON HARBOR...NARRAGANSETT BAY...AND THE EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS WATERS FROM THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO PLYMOUTH SHOULD
ALSO BE ALERT FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. PLAN TO HAVE ENOUGH
TIME TO GET BACK TO SAFE HARBOR.
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM NOON UNTIL 6 PM IN
ORDER TO MONITOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER.
AFTER THE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...OUR NEXT CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF HOT AND HUMID WEATHER INTO NEXT WEEK.
HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 90S...WITH THE HEAT INDEX NEAR
100 DEGREES FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THERE ALSO CONTINUE TO BE INDICATIONS THAT TEMPERATURES COULD REACH
THE UPPER 90S DURING THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. URBAN
CENTERS MAY ONLY SEE OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL IN THE UPPER 70S.
PEOPLE WHO ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO HEAT RELATED ILLNESS...INCLUDING THE
ELDERLY...SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF EXCESSIVE HEAT
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATED INFORMATION.
$$
JWD/DRAG
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
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