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W7EES > SWPC 06.12.19 21:04l 63 Lines 2299 Bytes #-2346 (0) @ WW
BID : 12766_W7EES
Read: DF7EAV DJ6UX GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
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Sent: 191206/1107Z 12766@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.19
>From w7ees%w7ees.or.usa.noam@i0ojj.ampr.org Fri Dec 6 12:53:25 2019
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 339 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Dec 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Dec, 07 Dec, 08 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 361 km/s at 05/2048Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
05/1133Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
05/1149Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 122 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (06 Dec, 07 Dec, 08
Dec).
III. Event probabilities 06 Dec-08 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Dec 071
Predicted 06 Dec-08 Dec 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 05 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Dec 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Dec 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Dec-08 Dec 006/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Dec-08 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/25
Major-severe storm 10/10/20
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information in your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is
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