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W7EES > SWPC 26.07.19 03:24l 48 Lines 1894 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10370_W7EES
Read: DJ6UX DF7EAV GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: DB0FHN<OE2XZR<OE5XBR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<CX2SA<N3HYM<KF5JRV<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190726/0033Z 10370@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 206 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jul 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to
25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 389 km/s at 25/0313Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
24/2110Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
25/1232Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (26 Jul,
27 Jul, 28 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 26 Jul-28 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Jul 068
Predicted 26 Jul-28 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 25 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jul 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jul 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jul-28 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/25
Major-severe storm 15/15/20
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