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W7EES > SWPC 17.06.19 03:32l 46 Lines 1790 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9506_W7EES
Read: DF7EAV DJ6UX GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: DB0FHN<OE2XZR<OE5XBR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<XE1FH<VE2PKT<N3HYM<KC9VYU<W9JUN<
W7EES
Sent: 190617/0027Z 9506@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jun 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (17 Jun, 18 Jun, 19 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 415 km/s at 16/1200Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (17 Jun, 18
Jun, 19 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Jun 066
Predicted 17 Jun-19 Jun 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 16 Jun 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jun 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jun 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun 010/012-010/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/25/25
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 25/25/25
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