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W7EES > SWPC 14.06.19 02:44l 48 Lines 1907 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9460_W7EES
Read: DF7EAV DJ6UX GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: DB0FHN<OE2XZR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<CX2SA<N3HYM<KC9VYU<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190614/0028Z 9460@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to
13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun, 16 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 495 km/s at 13/2003Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 13/1903Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
13/2051Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (14 Jun,
15 Jun, 16 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Jun 068
Predicted 14 Jun-16 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 13 Jun 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jun 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 006/008-009/010-009/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor Storm 20/25/30
Major-severe storm 25/20/25
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