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W7EES > SWPC 12.12.18 19:34l 55 Lines 1880 Bytes #-2765 (0) @ WW
BID : 6364_W7EES
Read: DF7EAV DK3UZ GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
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Sent: 181211/2239Z 6364@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.17
>From w7ees%w7ees.or.usa.noam@i0ojj.ampr.org Wed Dec 12 18:03:46 2018
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 345 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Dec 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to
11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (12 Dec, 13 Dec, 14 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 605 km/s at 11/0227Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2714 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (12 Dec, 13 Dec, 14
Dec).
III. Event probabilities 12 Dec-14 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Dec 071
Predicted 12 Dec-14 Dec 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 11 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Dec 008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Dec 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Dec-14 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Dec-14 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/15
Minor Storm 20/20/15
Major-severe storm 15/10/15
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