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W7EES > SWPC 25.11.18 02:03l 47 Lines 1562 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6075_W7EES
Read: DK3UZ DF7EAV GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: DB0FHN<DB0PM<OE2XZR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 181124/2315Z 6075@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.17
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 328 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Nov 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 Nov, 26 Nov, 27 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 367 km/s at 23/2349Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
24/1959Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
24/1124Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (25 Nov,
26 Nov, 27 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 25 Nov-27 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Nov 070
Predicted 25 Nov-27 Nov 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 24 Nov 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Nov 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Nov 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov 006/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Nov-27 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 25/25/20
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