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W7EES > SWPC 13.06.18 19:38l 48 Lines 1652 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 3805_W7EES
Read: DK3UZ GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: DB0FHN<OE2XZR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<N0KFQ<KF5JRV<N9LCF<KC8KPM<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 180607/2221Z 3805@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun, 10 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 446 km/s at 06/2100Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 07/0641Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
06/2136Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 6304 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun, 10
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Jun 069
Predicted 08 Jun-10 Jun 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 07 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun 009/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jun 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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