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HP2DFA > NHC      15.10.26 17:25l 119 Lines 4489 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4547_HP2DFA
Subj: NHC: Hurricane Trudy Public Advisory Number 9
Path: DB0FHN<OE2XZR<OE6XPE<DB0RKB<DK0WUE<PI8ZTM<IW2OHX<GB7OSW<GB7BED<DM4RW<
      HP2DFA
Sent: 261015/1512Z 4547@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24

======================================================================
               NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) BULLETIN - WW
            Automated NOAA/NHC Real-Time Operational Broadcast
======================================================================
Title: Hurricane Trudy Public Advisory Number 9
Source: nhc.noaa.gov
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issued at 900 AM CST Thu Oct 15 2026 000
WTPZ31 KNHC 151457
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Trudy Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026
900 AM CST Thu Oct 15 2026

...TRUDY RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE MEXICAN COAST...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 101.6W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from
Punta San Telmo southward to Zihuatanejo, Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo southward to Zihuatanejo, Mexico.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should
continue monitor the progress of Trudy. Additional watches will
likely be required later today for portions of these areas.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located
near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 101.6 West. Trudy is now moving
toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A continued motion
toward the north-northwest is expected during the next day or so,
followed by a turn back toward the northwest this weekend. On the
forecast track, Trudy is expected to approach the coast of
southwestern and west-central Mexico this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast over the next
day or so, and Trudy is forecast to become a major hurricane by
Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by early Saturday.

RAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8
inches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches through the
weekend across Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along
steep terrain.

Elsewhere, Trudyâ€Ös outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inch
with isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest
Mexican coast between Guerrero and Michoacán. This rainfall may
result in localized flash flooding through the weekend, especially
in areas along steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.

SURF: Swells generated by Trudy are expected to begin affecting
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico over the next day or so
and continue through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM CST.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.

$$
Forecaster Papin
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MAIL: HP2DFA@GMAIL.COM / HP2DFA-5@BPQ32
73 DE HP2DFA-5 / BPQ32 NODE PANAMA
======================================================================


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