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HP2DFA > NHC 15.10.26 11:08l 99 Lines 3767 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4500_HP2DFA
Read: GUEST
Subj: NHC: Hurricane Trudy Public Advisory Number 8
Path: DB0FHN<DB0RKB<DK0WUE<IW2OHX<GB7OSW<GB7BED<EI2GYB<VE3CGR<VE1LG<VE2PKT<
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Sent: 261015/0842Z 4500@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24
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NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) BULLETIN - WW
Automated NOAA/NHC Real-Time Operational Broadcast
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Title: Hurricane Trudy Public Advisory Number 8
Source: nhc.noaa.gov
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Issued at 300 AM CST Thu Oct 15 2026 000
WTPZ31 KNHC 150837
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
Hurricane Trudy Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212026
300 AM CST Thu Oct 15 2026
...TRUDY FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND APPROACH THE COAST OF
MEXICO AS A MAJOR HURRICANE THIS WEEKEND...
...INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR ITS PROGRESS...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 101.6W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in southwestern and west-central Mexico should monitor the
progress of Trudy. Watches will likely be required later this
morning for portions of these areas.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located
near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 101.6 West. Trudy is moving
toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn to the
north-northwest is expected during the next day or two, followed by
a turn back toward the northwest this weekend. On the forecast
track, Trudy is expected to approach the coast of southwestern and
west-central Mexico this weekend.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next
couple of days, and Trudy is expected to become a major hurricane on
Friday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.
RAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8
inches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches through the
weekend across Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along
steep terrain.
Elsewhere, Trudyâ€Ös outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inches
with isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest
coast of Mexico between Guerrero and Michoacan. This rainfall may
result in localized flash flooding through the weekend, especially
in areas along steep terrain.
SURF: Swells generated by Trudy are expected to begin affecting
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico over the next day or so
and continue through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
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MAIL: HP2DFA@GMAIL.COM / HP2DFA-5@BPQ32
73 DE HP2DFA-5 / BPQ32 NODE PANAMA
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