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DL9ZEA > FUNKWX 29.10.03 11:59l 90 Lines 4997 Bytes #999 (10) @ WW
BID : HNIJPTDB0MGB
Read: DB0FHN GUEST
Subj: RadioWX-Calendar 29-Oct.
Path: DB0FHN<DB0RGB<DB0MRW<DB0ERF<DB0MGB
Sent: 031029/1000z @:DB0MGB.#SAA.DEU.EU [Magdeburg OP:DL6MRA] DP6.00 $:HNIJPTDB
From: DL9ZEA @ DB0MGB.#SAA.DEU.EU (Horst)
To: FUNKWX @ WW
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________________________________________________________________
Radio Weather Calendar RWC-302 29-Oct. 2003
________________________________________________________________
Values of DK0WCY on 3.579 and 10.144 MHz
in JO61BX 07.07 UTC S - S 2a
K - Value Kiel today 06.00 UTC K = 3
*********************** AURORA - WARNUNG ***********************
Forecast for the 29-Oct. 2003
----------------------------------------------------------------
Sun activity : major flares expected
Geomagnetic activity : magnetic storm in progress
Values the last 9 days
________________________________________________________________
Days 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Sunspot numbers 113 144 117 122 160 139 191 238 230
Solar flux 135 152 154 183 191 222 298 257 274
Ak -( Boulder ) 26 36 28 10 36 14 12 18 20
Ak -( Kiel ) 33 39 29 7 28 21 20 12 26
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Optical flares 7 8 17 6 9 8 3 20 28
Spotted region 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 8 9
Particles/cm2 12 13 22 64 65 19 47 96 18
Total numbers of 63 94 67 82 120 109 161 158 140
sunspots
Total sunspot area 1500 1850 1950 2930 3000 4060 3770 4270 4520
in millionths of the solar hemisphere
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Maximum in the 23rd cycle:
Flux = 298 (26-Oct. 2003) Ak-Boulder = 131 (31-Mar.2001)
SSN = 401 (20-Jul. 2000) Ak-Kiel = 189 (31-Mar.2001)
Forecast for the next 9 days
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Days of the month 29 30 31 01 02 02 03 04 05
Solar flux 265 255 246 235 231 220 209 185 170
Ak-Value (Boulder) 53 65 25 12 11 15 13 11 14
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55 days mean value
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Days 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Solar flux 113,27 114,49 115,89 117,93 121,38 124,13 127,09
Sunspot number 82,33 82,15 82,87 83,56 85,96 88,65 91,67
Maximum Flux = 232,58 (04-Feb. 2002)
SSN = 222,89 (30-Jul. 2000)
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90 days mean value
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Days 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Solar flux 115,92 116,31 117,29 118,62 120,79 122,53 124,48
Sunspot number 90,91 91,22 92,42 93,30 94,80 96,74 98.60
Maximum Flux = 226,01 (02-Feb. 2002)
SSN = 209,94 (08-Aug. 2000)
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Energetic events: (C-, M- and X-Flares)
27-Oct. 28-Oct. 29-Oct.
01.33-01.44 C6.2 00.41-00.48 C5.3 00.26-02.08 M1.1
04.12-05.08 M1.2 00.56-01.02 C6.7 04.10-04.25 C6.2
06.13-06.28 C9.0 01.27-01.45 C7.5
07.51-09.24 M2.7 05.07-05.11 C7.7
09.21-09.32 M5.0 08.35-08.39 C8.7
12.27-12.52 M6.7 09.51-11.24 X17.2
14.02-14.21 C5.1
18.34-18.55 C7.5
19.48-20.16 C9.0
21.46-22.05 M1.9
23.12-23.22 C4.1
23.45-00.09 C6.8
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The last 24 hours
Sudden Impulse 28/02.07 UTC - 10 nT Boulder
10cm Radio Burst 28/10.14-14.59 UTC
Radio Emission II 28/11.02 UTC, estimated velocity 1250 Km/s
Radio Emission IV 28/11.26 UTC
Radio Emission IV 28/13.49 UTC
10cm Radio Burst 28/15.30-16.54 UTC
Radio Emission IV 28/16.33 UTC
10cm Radio Burst 29/04.40-05.19 UTC
Radio Emission IV 29/05.35 UTC
Sudden Impulse 29/06.13 UTC - 140 nT
Sudden Impulse 29/06.20 UTC
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Today 06.55 UTC- Solar Wind: 279,3 Km/s,Proton density 51,5 p/cc
Interpl. Mag. Field 07.06 UTC Btotal= 19,4 nT; Bz= 5,4 nT south
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WX: Temp.: 4,5 C, Atmospheric pressure: 1014 hPa - overcast
_______________________________________________________________
73 de DL9ZEA - OP: Horst, QTH: Zerbst, 29-Oct. 2003 09.37 UTC
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