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W1GMF > ARES 27.07.06 15:16l 94 Lines 4965 Bytes #-7181 (0) @ WW
BID : 56971_W1GMF
Read: GUEST
Subj: Severe WX Coord Message #1 0727
Path: DB0FHN<DB0RGB<DB0SL<DB0FSG<I4UKI<IK1ZNW<VE3FJB<WA7V<WH6IO<KG6BAJ<
VK4TRS<ZL2BAU<N1UAN<W1GMF
Sent: 060727/1236Z @:W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NA #:56971 [Abington, MA FN42MC]
From: W1GMF@W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NA
To : SKYWRN@NEBBS
Hello to all….
….After a marginal severe weather event yesterday that affected two towns in
Southern New England, resulting in the 24th SKYWARN Activation over a 9 week
period, a somewhat more widespread severe weather event is possible today in
Southern New England west of a Manchester to Nashua to Worcester to Willimantic
region with damaging winds and large hail the primary threats…..
….A Potentially Even More Widespread Severe Weather Event is possible Friday
pending the amount of sunshine that occurs over the region….
….SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is possible both today and Friday….
After a couple of marginal severe thunderstorms occurred in Simsbury, CT and
Russell, MA, somewhat more widespread severe weather is possible today across
Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and North
Connecticut. The timeframe for this threat is from 1-6 PM with damaging winds
and large hail the primary threats. Wind fields will be stronger than yesterday
and that will result in a somewhat more widespread severe weather event over
the region.
A potentially more widespread severe weather event is possible Friday as wind
fields will be even stronger. The only mitigating factor for Friday’s event
will be clouds and cloud debris limiting sunshine. The extent of Friday’s
threat will be better understood as we get closer to the event.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is possible both today and Friday
across the region. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
FLUS41 KBOX 270937
HWOBOX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
537 AM EDT THU JUL 27 2006
ANZ230>237-250-254-255-CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-
RIZ001>008-280934-
BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BRISTOL-
BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK
ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-NORTHERN WORCESTER-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-VINEYARD SOUND-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT-
WESTERN NORFOLK-WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM-
537 AM EDT THU JUL 27 2006
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS /SUPERCELLS/ CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND BRIEF POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING RAINS
ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 1 PM AND 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON FROM SOUTHWEST NEW
HAMPSHIRE INTO NORTH CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS POSSIBLY DOWN
INTO NORTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AT LEAST SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SEVERE STORMS /WET
MICROBURSTS IF TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID OR UPPER 80S/ DURING
THE AFTERNOON. STORMS ON FRIDAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING.
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT AND AGAIN TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE AND
TIMING REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN....ASSOCIATED WITH THE POSITION
OF A WEAK BACKDOOR COOL FRONT OSCILLATING NORTH AND SOUTH THROUGH
PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
FINALLY...PERSISTENTLY WARMER THAN NORMAL AND HUMID WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOR THE INTERIOR WITH THE ONLY
NON THUNDERSTORM BREAK FROM THE HEAT POSSIBLY COMING FROM A BACKDOOR
COOL FRONT.
HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S THE ENTIRE
TIME ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THIS COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS MAY
RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES WELL UP INTO THE 90S.
PARTS OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY...INTERIOR NORTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS OR SOUTH CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY HAVE A 3 TO 5 DAY
HEAT WAVE EMBEDDED THIS WEEK LONG WARM SPELL.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL OR FLOODING
RAINS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AFTER 1 PM TODAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF A
NASHUA...TO WORCESTER...TO WINDSOR LOCKS LINE.
$$
JWD/DRAG
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
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