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LU9DCE > NEWS 01.10.26 18:34l 211 Lines 6743 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 23207_LU9DCE
Read: OE5RCO DJ6UX GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 01-OCT
Path: DB0FHN<DB0RES<GB7CAM<VE3KPG<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 261001/1615Z 23207@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PYTHON SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2026 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF THU OCT 1 07:27:02 UTC 2026
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF THU OCT 1 07:27:02 UTC 2026.
========================================
SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF THU OCT 1 07:27:02 UTC 2026
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF THU OCT 1 07:27:02 UTC
2026.
========================================
SPC OCT 1, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS LOW TODAY, BUT SOME GUSTY WINDS
COULD ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF KANSAS TO THE EASTERN
HALF OF TEXAS.
...KS TO TX...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD
THIS MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF KS INTO CENTRAL/EASTERN OK AND
NORTH/CENTRAL TX. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST EASTWARD THROUGH THE
DAY, SUPPORTED BY LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW
AND COLD FRONT. FORECAST GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED WEAKER WITH ANY SIGNAL
FOR SEVERE POTENTIAL. ONGOING CONVECTION AND CLOUD COVER DOWNSTREAM
ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR WILL LIMIT HEATING. FURTHERMORE, LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN POOR. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASINGLY LIFT
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE MIDWEST IN TANDEM WITH A WEAKENING MIDLEVEL
TROUGH. AS THIS OCCURS, MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL WEAKEN THROUGH AFTERNOON
OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONGER INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED
WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT TOWARD SOUTH TX. HOWEVER, VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
BE VERY WEAK AND LAPSE RATES POOR, PRECLUDING ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS.
WHILE OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
TODAY, OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW.
..LEITMAN/WEINMAN.. 10/01/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC OCT 1, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S. ON FRIDAY OR
FRIDAY NIGHT.
...DISCUSSION...
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN U.S. ON FRIDAY, AS MULTIPLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FLOW. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT
WILL ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. SURFACE DEWPOINTS TO THE SOUTH OF THE FRONT OVER THE GULF
COAST REGION WILL BE IN THE 70S F. THIS MOIST AIRMASS WILL BECOME
WEAKLY UNSTABLE BY AFTERNOON OVER MOST AREAS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN ZONES OF FOCUSED LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE RELATIVELY WEAK,
WHICH WILL LIMIT ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL.
..BROYLES.. 10/01/2026
READ MORE
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SPC OCT 1, 2026 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2026
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S. ON SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT.
...DISCUSSION...
AT MID-LEVELS, ZONAL WESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON SATURDAY FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE NORTHEAST. IN THE SOUTHERN U.S., MID-FLOW
ALOFT WILL REMAIN WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY. AT THE SURFACE, A SLOW-MOVING
FRONT WILL REMAIN LOCATED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE
VALLEYS. TO THE SOUTH OF THE FRONT, WEAK INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED BY
AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
BECOMES FOCUSED. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK ACROSS
THIS MOIST AIRMASS, LIMITING ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL.
..BROYLES.. 10/01/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A MID-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL TRANSITION INTO
WEAKENING UPPER TROUGHING AS IT PROGRESSES NORTHEASTWARD THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THE SURFACE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM
THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT, BRINGING MUCH-NEEDED RELIEF TO
DRY FUELS IN THE EASTERN ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN. MEANWHILE, RIDGING
WILL RAPIDLY EXPAND OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, PROMOTING
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS IN MUCH OF THE WESTERN
GREAT BASIN AND CALIFORNIA. FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY UNDER THESE
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS, BUT LIGHT SURFACE WINDS LIMIT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 10/01/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
REDUCED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS INTO
DAY 2/FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE
ARKLATEX WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD, BRINGING HIGHER HUMIDITY AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES. AN EXPANSIVE REGION OF ACCUMULATING
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT, PROVIDING
SOME RELIEF TO A RAINFALL-NEGLECTED FUELSCAPE IN THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. AS UPPER RIDGING EXPANDS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST;
HOWEVER, GENERALLY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS LOW.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 10/01/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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