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LU9DCE > ALERT 14.01.24 00:09l 71 Lines 2473 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5153_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 13-JAN24
Path: DB0FHN<OE2XZR<OE6XPE<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<GB7CIP<VE3KPG<VA3TOK<LU9DCE
Sent: 240113/0801Z 5153@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT JAN 13 03:46:01 UTC 2024
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT JAN 13 03:46:01 UTC 2024.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT JAN 13 03:46:01 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT JAN 13 03:46:01 UTC 2024.
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SPC JAN 13, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2024
VALID 130100Z - 131200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN US...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO REMAIN POSSIBLE
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN US.
...01Z UPDATE...
PRIMARY UPPER LOW IS SHIFTING NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHERN WI EARLY
THIS EVENING AS MAIN MIDLEVEL JET TRANSLATES ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.
WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM NOW FOCUSED OVER THE GREAT LAKES, TRAILING
COLD FRONT IS LESS DYNAMICALLY FOCUSED BUT SHOULD STILL REMAIN THE
PRIMARY MECHANISM FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. 00Z
SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF THE FRONT EXHIBIT AROUND 6.5-7C/KM MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES AT JAX/CHS, BUT NOTABLY WEAKER OVER THE FL PENINSULA WHERE
SURFACE-BASED PARCELS ARE LESS INHIBITED. LATEST RADAR DATA SUGGESTS
THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THE SOUTHERN INFLUENCE
OF THE UPPER TROUGH WHERE SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY SUPPORTS ROBUST
UPDRAFTS -- NAMELY SOUTHERN GA NORTHERN FL. EVEN SO, MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY HAS NOT PRODUCED SEVERE WIND/HAIL AND ANY SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES ARE NOTABLY WEAK. EVEN SO, STRONG SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR ROBUST UPDRAFTS, THOUGH BOUNDARY-LAYER
RECOVERY MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH LEVELS NECESSARY FOR WIDESPREAD,
ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS.
..DARROW.. 01/13/2024
READ MORE
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